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Republicans are in a dogfight to defend the Latino gains that had them dreaming of a lasting political realignment just two years ago. Why it matters: Nowhere is that reversal of fortune more visible than in South Texas, where President Trump ran up historic numbers in 2024 — and Republicans redrew the map in 2025, assuming those Latino gains would last. Trump won 55% of Texas Latino voters in 2024 exit polls, carried 14 of the 18 counties within 20 miles of the border and won all four Rio Grande Valley counties. Polling shows Trump's disapproval ratings have skyrocketed among Latinos in Texas since 2024. Democrats and allied groups are now pouring money into races across the Rio Grande Valley. Zoom in: The reversal is starkest in TX-15, where Rep. Monica De La Cruz was one of the GOP's most visible symbols of its South Texas breakthrough. Trump would have carried the newly-drawn district by 18 percentage points in 2024. De La Cruz won her 2024 race under the previous map by 14 points.
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independent outlets · 100% owner-diverse
The reporting uses analytical, somewhat evocative language to describe political trends. It frames the situation as a 'dogfight' based on electoral observations without citing specific individual sources.
Describes tone and sourcing pattern only — never assesses whether the story is true. See methodology.
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